Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#122
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#137
Pace73.5#47
Improvement+2.5#76

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#55
Improvement+1.0#114

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#231
Improvement+1.5#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.9% n/a n/a
First Round94.3% n/a n/a
Second Round5.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. L 75-84 19%     0 - 1 +3.4 -1.6 +6.1
  Nov 13, 2011 4   North Carolina L 75-91 13%     0 - 2 -0.8 +0.7 +0.2
  Nov 24, 2011 36   Connecticut L 63-73 24%     0 - 3 +0.4 -1.7 +1.6
  Nov 25, 2011 168   College of Charleston L 66-68 62%     0 - 4 -2.1 -2.6 +0.4
  Nov 26, 2011 296   Utah W 87-65 86%     1 - 4 +13.6 +12.9 +1.1
  Dec 01, 2011 273   @ Gardner-Webb W 66-60 72%     2 - 4 1 - 0 +3.0 -6.7 +9.6
  Dec 04, 2011 147   South Carolina Upstate W 88-81 69%     3 - 4 +5.0 +6.8 -2.4
  Dec 20, 2011 51   @ Tennessee L 68-72 21%     3 - 5 +7.7 +5.2 +2.4
  Dec 28, 2011 234   @ Western Carolina L 67-86 65%     3 - 6 -19.9 -12.2 -6.5
  Dec 31, 2011 264   @ Winthrop W 73-68 OT 71%     4 - 6 2 - 0 +2.4 -6.0 +7.8
  Jan 02, 2012 313   @ Radford W 66-56 85%     5 - 6 3 - 0 +2.2 -2.7 +5.6
  Jan 05, 2012 281   VMI W 94-85 89%     6 - 6 4 - 0 -1.3 +5.9 -7.9
  Jan 07, 2012 285   Liberty W 98-75 90%     7 - 6 5 - 0 +12.3 +15.4 -3.6
  Jan 12, 2012 245   @ Campbell W 89-82 67%     8 - 6 6 - 0 +5.6 +7.6 -2.4
  Jan 14, 2012 235   @ High Point W 86-79 66%     9 - 6 7 - 0 +6.0 +5.8 +0.0
  Jan 17, 2012 206   Coastal Carolina W 88-81 79%     10 - 6 8 - 0 +1.5 +8.5 -7.2
  Jan 19, 2012 184   Charleston Southern L 88-93 77%     10 - 7 8 - 1 -9.5 +12.1 -21.7
  Jan 21, 2012 253   @ Presbyterian W 66-58 69%     11 - 7 9 - 1 +6.0 -3.0 +9.9
  Jan 26, 2012 235   High Point W 90-70 85%     12 - 7 10 - 1 +12.2 +7.4 +4.3
  Jan 28, 2012 245   Campbell W 95-84 85%     13 - 7 11 - 1 +2.8 +4.2 -2.7
  Feb 02, 2012 281   @ VMI W 89-86 74%     14 - 7 12 - 1 -0.5 +5.1 -5.8
  Feb 04, 2012 285   @ Liberty W 65-51 75%     15 - 7 13 - 1 +10.1 -4.4 +16.1
  Feb 11, 2012 313   Radford W 88-62 94%     16 - 7 14 - 1 +11.4 +6.3 +3.6
  Feb 14, 2012 206   @ Coastal Carolina L 69-74 57%     16 - 8 14 - 2 -3.7 -1.6 -2.3
  Feb 18, 2012 71   @ Ohio L 62-81 25%     16 - 9 -8.7 -9.6 +2.5
  Feb 23, 2012 273   Gardner-Webb W 71-61 88%     17 - 9 15 - 2 +0.2 -4.6 +4.8
  Feb 25, 2012 264   Winthrop W 67-55 88%     18 - 9 16 - 2 +2.6 -1.2 +4.9
  Feb 29, 2012 235   High Point W 86-61 85%     19 - 9 +17.2 +8.1 +9.9
  Mar 01, 2012 184   Charleston Southern W 91-64 77%     20 - 9 +22.5 +14.0 +8.4
  Mar 03, 2012 281   VMI W 80-64 89%     21 - 9 +5.7 -0.8 +6.5
Projected Record 21.0 - 9.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.5 0.0 0.4 44.7 54.9
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.4 44.7 54.9